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Thursday 7 December 2017

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Elections in Gujarat have become more competitive over the last sixty years, as indicated by a narrowing of the winners’ margins of victory, a Hindustan Times analysis of Gujarat election data shows.
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In 1995, when the BJP first came to power in the state, the figure reduced by half to around 12.96%. The median margin of victory — that is, the difference between the votes received by the winner and the runner-up as a proportion of total valid votes polled — was 22.2% in 1962. 2012, it further slipped by two percentage points to 10.72%.


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Fewer candidates now win by a margin greater than 40%, and more are winning with a margin less than 20% — signifying increasing competitiveness of the state’s elections.

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